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🏆Round of 16 · 90 of 104 matches played⚽FT: Paraguay 0-1 France · France +5.1 Elo⚽FT: Canada 0-3 Morocco · Morocco +22.8 Elo⏱️Next: Brazil vs Norway · Brazil 52% by Elo⏱️Next: Mexico vs England · England 57% by Elo📈Biggest mover: Morocco +56 Elo over 5 matches🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2170⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor🏆Round of 16 · 90 of 104 matches played⚽FT: Paraguay 0-1 France · France +5.1 Elo⚽FT: Canada 0-3 Morocco · Morocco +22.8 Elo⏱️Next: Brazil vs Norway · Brazil 52% by Elo⏱️Next: Mexico vs England · England 57% by Elo📈Biggest mover: Morocco +56 Elo over 5 matches🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2170⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor
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← World Cup 2026
World Cup 2026 · Match 79
Round of 32 · Mexico City
Wed, Jul 1, 01:00 UTC
Mexico flag
Mexico
2-0
HT 1-0
Full time
Ecuador flag
Ecuador
Julián Quiñones 31′
Raúl Jiménez 45+1′

Prediction vs result

Mexico 45%Draw 27%Ecuador 42%
Pre-match Elo odds

The favorite delivered. Elo gave Mexico a 45% win chance, and they took it.

Elo swing

Mexico1862 → 1884+21.8
Ecuador1911 → 1889−21.8

More from the Round of 32

M73South AfricavsCanada0-1M74BrazilvsJapan2-1M75GermanyvsParaguay1-1M76NetherlandsvsMorocco1-1