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🏆Semi-finals · 101 of 104 matches played🏆Winner M101 vs Winner M102: the final, July 19🔥Spain are through to the final: 0-2 vs France📊Polymarket: Spain 58% · England 23% · Argentina 20%⏱️Next: England vs Argentina · Argentina 50% by Elo⏱️Next: Loser M101 vs Loser M102📈Biggest mover: Morocco +47 Elo over 6 matches🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2201⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor🏆Semi-finals · 101 of 104 matches played🏆Winner M101 vs Winner M102: the final, July 19🔥Spain are through to the final: 0-2 vs France📊Polymarket: Spain 58% · England 23% · Argentina 20%⏱️Next: England vs Argentina · Argentina 50% by Elo⏱️Next: Loser M101 vs Loser M102📈Biggest mover: Morocco +47 Elo over 6 matches🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2201⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor
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← World Cup 2026
World Cup 2026 · Match 101
Semi-final · Dallas (Arlington)
Tue, Jul 14, 19:00 UTC
France flag
France
0-2
HT 0-1
Full time
Spain flag
Spain
Mikel Oyarzabal 22′
Pedro Porro 58′

Prediction vs result

France 35%Draw 26%Spain 52%
Pre-match Elo odds

The favorite delivered. Elo gave Spain a 52% win chance, and they took it.

Elo swing

France2112 → 2094−18.0
Spain2183 → 2201+18.0

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