Brazil 2-1 Japan · result & Elo swing

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🏆Round of 16 · 90 of 104 matches played ⚽FT: Paraguay 0-1 France · France +5.1 Elo ⚽FT: Canada 0-3 Morocco · Morocco +22.8 Elo ⏱️Next: Brazil vs Norway · Brazil 52% by Elo ⏱️Next: Mexico vs England · England 57% by Elo 📈Biggest mover: Morocco +56 Elo over 5 matches 🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2170 ⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor 🏆Round of 16 · 90 of 104 matches played ⚽FT: Paraguay 0-1 France · France +5.1 Elo ⚽FT: Canada 0-3 Morocco · Morocco +22.8 Elo ⏱️Next: Brazil vs Norway · Brazil 52% by Elo ⏱️Next: Mexico vs England · England 57% by Elo 📈Biggest mover: Morocco +56 Elo over 5 matches 🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2170 ⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor

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World Cup 2026 · Match 74

Round of 32 · Houston

Mon, Jun 29, 17:00 UTC

2-1

HT 0-1

Full time

Casemiro 56′

Gabriel Martinelli 90+5′

Kaishu Sano 29′

Prediction vs result

Brazil 57%Draw 26%Japan 31%

Pre-match Elo odds

The favorite delivered. Elo gave Brazil a 57% win chance, and they took it.

Elo swing

Brazil1989 → 2000+10.6

Japan1883 → 1872−10.6

More from the Round of 32

Paraguay1-1 M76