Mexico 2-0 South Africa · result & Elo swing

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🏆Round of 16 · 90 of 104 matches played ⚽FT: Paraguay 0-1 France · France +5.1 Elo ⚽FT: Canada 0-3 Morocco · Morocco +22.8 Elo ⏱️Next: Brazil vs Norway · Brazil 52% by Elo ⏱️Next: Mexico vs England · England 57% by Elo 📈Biggest mover: Morocco +56 Elo over 5 matches 🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2170 ⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor 🏆Round of 16 · 90 of 104 matches played ⚽FT: Paraguay 0-1 France · France +5.1 Elo ⚽FT: Canada 0-3 Morocco · Morocco +22.8 Elo ⏱️Next: Brazil vs Norway · Brazil 52% by Elo ⏱️Next: Mexico vs England · England 57% by Elo 📈Biggest mover: Morocco +56 Elo over 5 matches 🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2170 ⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor

← World Cup 2026

World Cup 2026 · Match 1

Group A · Matchday 1 · Mexico City

Thu, Jun 11, 19:00 UTC

2-0

HT 1-0

Full time

Julián Quiñones 9′

Raúl Jiménez 67′

Prediction vs result

Mexico 83%Draw 14%South Africa 10%

Pre-match Elo odds

The favorite delivered. Elo gave Mexico a 83% win chance, and they took it.

Elo swing

Mexico1834 → 1839+4.9

South Africa1529 → 1524−4.9

More from Group A

South Africa1-1 M28

South Korea1-0 M53