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🏆Round of 16 · 90 of 104 matches played⚽FT: Paraguay 0-1 France · France +5.1 Elo⚽FT: Canada 0-3 Morocco · Morocco +22.8 Elo⏱️Next: Brazil vs Norway · Brazil 52% by Elo⏱️Next: Mexico vs England · England 57% by Elo📈Biggest mover: Morocco +56 Elo over 5 matches🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2170⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor🏆Round of 16 · 90 of 104 matches played⚽FT: Paraguay 0-1 France · France +5.1 Elo⚽FT: Canada 0-3 Morocco · Morocco +22.8 Elo⏱️Next: Brazil vs Norway · Brazil 52% by Elo⏱️Next: Mexico vs England · England 57% by Elo📈Biggest mover: Morocco +56 Elo over 5 matches🥇Spain leads the live Elo rankings at 2170⚔️Run any matchup through the Elo predictor
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← World Cup 2026
World Cup 2026 · Match 92
Round of 16 · Mexico City
Mon, Jul 6, 00:00 UTC
Mexico flag
Mexico
vs
Upcoming
England flag
England

Win probability

Mexico win30%
Draw25%
England win57%

England carry a 109-point venue-adjusted edge, worth roughly 0.5 goals of expected supremacy (includes the 60-point host adjustment).

Open in the predictor →

Ratings entering the match

Mexico
Elo entering
1884
England
Elo entering
2053

Key players

The names most likely to decide it

Mexico
FWSantiago Giménez▶
MFEdson Álvarez▶
FWHirving Lozano▶
FWRaúl Jiménez▶
England
MFJude Bellingham▶
FWHarry Kane▶
FWBukayo Saka▶
MFDeclan Rice▶

More from the Round of 16

M89CanadavsMorocco0-3M90ParaguayvsFrance0-1M91BrazilvsNorwayJul 5M93PortugalvsSpainJul 6